Из жизни альткоинов

The altseason never came. Months of waiting have produced nothing but lower prices, thinner liquidity, and a market that has run out of patience with its own promises.

Top analyst Darkfost has published findings that reframe the current altcoin environment not as a temporary setback but as something structurally worse: more than 40% of altcoins have either reached their all-time low or are approaching it with nothing visible standing between them and it.

That figure has now surpassed the peak reading from the previous bear market, which topped out at approximately 38%. This cycle — the one that was supposed to deliver the altseason — has produced more all-time low readings than the last one did at its worst.

The context Darkfost provides is unsparing. Geopolitical tensions continue to escalate, and the volatility that creates across financial markets is falling disproportionately on the most vulnerable assets. Altcoins sit at the bottom of that hierarchy. They absorb the fear first, recover last, and in this cycle, many have not recovered at all.

The altcoin market has not just underperformed. It has, for a significant portion of its assets, effectively reset to zero. That is not a correction. That is a reckoning.

The Macro Is Not the Whole Story. The Real Problem Has 47 Million Parts

Darkfost is direct about what most market commentary is missing. Yes, the macro environment is hostile. Geopolitical tension, risk-off positioning, and the worst 60-40 performance since 2022 are all real headwinds that no altcoin can outrun. But blaming the macro for the altcoin collapse is incomplete — and that incompleteness matters, because it leads investors toward the wrong diagnosis and therefore the wrong response.

The structural problem is this: there are now more than 47 million cryptocurrencies in existence. Twenty-two million on Solana alone. Over eighteen million on Base. Four million on BNB Smart Chain. The total pool of capital available to the crypto market has not grown anywhere near proportionally to the number of assets competing for it.

The result is liquidity dilution on a scale that has no historical precedent in this market — a spreading of finite capital across an effectively infinite number of tokens, each one drawing from the same shallow pool.

That is why altcoins are not just down. They are structurally fragile in a way they were not in previous cycles.

Darkfost’s forward observation is precise and deliberately restrained: extreme underperformance at this scale does create opportunity — but only for those willing to do the work of separating the resilient from the irrelevant. In a market of 47 million tokens, that distinction has never mattered more.

The Altcoin Market Has Given Back Everything. The Chart Makes That Impossible to Argue With

The total crypto market cap excluding the top 10 — the purest available measure of altcoin market health — currently stands at $173.12 billion, up 1.88% on the week. The weekly candle opened at $172.08 billion, reached $175.45 billion, and is holding modest gains. In the context of what the chart shows behind it, a 1.88% weekly gain is not a recovery. It is noise.

The macro picture is devastating. This index peaked near $480 billion in late 2024, marking the high point of the cycle that was supposed to deliver altseason. It has since collapsed 64% — erasing not just the 2024 gains but returning to levels last seen in mid-2023, before the bull market began in earnest. The entire altcoin bull run has been unwound.

The weekly moving average structure confirms the severity. Price has broken below all three MAs — the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week — with all three now sloping downward in sequence. The 50-week MA crossed below the 100-week MA in a confirmed death cross. The 200-week MA near $190 billion, which provided definitive support at every major correction throughout the 2023-2024 cycle, has now been broken and is being tested from below.

$173 billion is not a floor. It is the level the market is currently defending after failing to hold $190 billion. The 2022 bear market low for this index sat near $80 billion. That reference is not a prediction. It is what the chart reveals when the current support gives way.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a four-week run of gains last week, posting $296 million in net outflows after pulling in more than $2.2 billion earlier in the month. The crypto reversal was swift — and it wasn’t limited to Bitcoin.

Ether Takes The Hardest Hit

Ether led all assets in outflows, shedding $222 million in a single week. That brought its year-to-date total into the red, with a net loss of $273 million — the worst performance among tracked assets.

Spot Ether ETFs also recorded $206 million in outflows for a second straight week, a sign that institutional demand for the second-largest cryptocurrency has been cooling steadily.

Bitcoin fared better in the long run. Despite $194 million leaving Bitcoin funds last week, the asset remains up $964 million in net inflows for the year.

A small group of investors even moved in the opposite direction — short-Bitcoin products drew $4 million in fresh capital, suggesting some are betting on more losses ahead.

Across the board, total assets under management in digital asset products dropped to close to $130 billion.

According to CoinShares head of research James Butterfill, that figure puts the market back at levels not seen since early February — broadly in line with where things stood in April 2025 during the first wave of US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Solana lost a little over $12 million over the same period. XRP was the exception. Reports from CoinShares show the token attracted close to $16 million in new capital, standing apart from the widespread exodus hitting nearly every other major asset.

What Spooked Investors

Three things rattled markets last week: inflation fears, shifting expectations around US interest rates, and rising tensions in the Middle East.

The most consequential of the three may be the rate outlook. Expectations heading into the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting moved away from potential cuts and toward possible hikes — a major shift that historically pushes investors away from riskier assets.

Digital assets tend to feel that pressure quickly. When borrowing costs look like they’re going up, money moves toward safer ground.

A Five-Week Streak Comes To An End

The $414 million in total outflows snapped what had been five consecutive weeks of inflows. Data from CoinShares shows the pullback reflected a broader shift toward risk-off behavior among investors, driven more by macroeconomic forces than anything specific to crypto markets.

Whether last week marks a turning point or a brief pause will likely depend on what signals come out of the Fed in the weeks ahead. For now, the money has moved — at least temporarily — to the sidelines.

Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson used a lengthy weekly livestream to level one of his sharpest recent attacks at Ripple, arguing that the company is backing legislation that could entrench incumbents, weaken DeFi protections, and make it harder for new crypto projects to compete.

The core of Hoskinson’s complaint was not aimed at XRP holders, but at what he described as Ripple’s policy posture in Washington and the behavior of CEO Brad Garlinghouse. In Hoskinson’s telling, Ripple is pushing for rules that would classify new tokens as securities by default while benefiting from carve-outs that would leave larger, established players in a stronger position.

Hoskinson Takes Aim At Ripple Over Competition Fight

Hoskinson said Garlinghouse was “trying to pass a bill that makes everything by default a security until proven otherwise,” calling that framework a non-starter for the broader market. He argued that such an approach would effectively recreate the kind of regulatory pressure that former SEC Chair Gary Gensler brought to the sector, only this time through legislation supported by industry actors rather than enforcement alone.

“He’s trying to pass a bill that makes everything by default a security until proven otherwise, which was the treatment Gary Gensler inflicted on his own ecosystem,” Hoskinson said. “It’s a non-starter, because he knows that he’s going to get an exemption and it reduces competition. So, [expletive] the whole industry. It’s bad behavior.”

That argument sat at the center of a wider rant about market structure, lobbying, and what Hoskinson sees as crypto’s growing willingness to trade open competition for regulatory protection. He said he had already laid out “four different attack vectors” the SEC could use if such a bill were enacted, and warned that the damage would not stop with token issuers.

According to Hoskinson, the proposal would also leave open-source developers exposed by stripping out protections for DeFi builders. “The bill also removed all developer protections for DeFi developers,” he said. “Who takes care of the Tornado Cash people and these other people writing open-source software? We can’t live in a space where you have transitive unlimited liability.”

He extended that point with one of the livestream’s longer analogies, arguing that holding software developers liable for downstream use of their code would amount to a category error. “You write code and people you’ve never met use that code in places you’ve never been to and you’re held absolutely liable for that,” Hoskinson said. “That’s equivalent to you writing a book, someone reads the book and murders somebody based on a character in your book and then you get charged with murder. It’s basically the same thing.”

Hoskinson also took aim at what he described as the XRP community’s reflexive defense of Ripple whenever he criticizes the company. He said there is “no path for people to listen to the content” of his argument because any criticism of Garlinghouse is treated as an attack on XRP itself. He pushed back on that framing by noting that he publicly supported Ripple when the SEC sued the company years ago, but said that did not obligate him to back its current lobbying goals.

“Guys, I did support you when you got sued by the Securities Exchange Commission,” he said. “There’s videos of me. You can pull them up from years ago where I said it was the wrong decision.”

From there, Hoskinson shifted into one of crypto’s oldest fault lines: token distribution. He argued that Ripple had no need for outside help in its legal fight because the organization “gave themselves a mammoth premine,” saying the company already had the resources to defend itself and pursue acquisitions. He contrasted that with Cardano, saying, “I didn’t give myself 70% of the ADA supply.”

At press time, XRP traded at $1.35.

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin mining Hashrate has seen a notable jump since the mid-March lows, a sign that miners have been coming back.

Bitcoin Hashrate Has Retraced Much Of The Earlier Decline

The “Hashrate” refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of computing power that miners have connected to the network. It’s measured in terms of hashes per second (H/s), or more practically, in exahashes per second (EH/s). This metric can serve as a proxy for the sentiment among miners; its value going up can imply the chain validators are finding the network profitable to mine on, while its value going down can suggest this cohort is leaving the chain for now

As the chart below from Blockchain.com shows, the 7-day average value of the Bitcoin Hashrate witnessed a drawdown during the first half of March.

Interestingly, this drop in the metric came alongside a recovery surge in BTC’s spot price. Often, miners tend to follow the cryptocurrency’s value as their revenue directly correlates with it. This time, however, the two showed a divergence.

Some speculated that the decline may be due to a shift that the mining industry has been observing recently, with many big public mining companies choosing to focus on the emerging AI/datacenter business. Since bottoming at 920.8 EH/s on March 19th, however, the Hashrate has made significant recovery, raising doubts about the theory.

Today, the 7-day average value of the Hashrate is sitting at 1,036.6 EH/s, which is about 12.5% up from the low seen earlier in the month. The metric is still not quite back at the 1,083.9 EH/s top from March 1st, but if the recent trajectory continues, it’s possible that a full recovery could happen.

It only remains to be seen, though, how the Hashrate will develop in the near future, considering the consolidation phase that Bitcoin has been stuck in during the war uncertainty and miners making a push toward AI.

In some other news, the Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were observing a streak of positive netflows earlier, but the latest week has broken the trend, according to data from SoSoValue.

As displayed in the above graph, the US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net inflows for four straight weeks before the latest one, implying demand was pouring into the cryptocurrency via these funds. Last week, however, the trend reversed as over $296 million in capital left the vehicles instead.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,600, down nearly 5% over the past week.

As Bitcoin (BTC) trades below $70,000 following its latest decline, a crypto analyst is watching for a potential market bottom. His analysis suggests that a price floor could be near, as bearish momentum and selling pressure appear to be slowing. The analyst has pointed to a key indicator that has consistently signaled BTC’s bear-market lows for over a decade, reinforcing the view that the prolonged downtrend could be ending soon. However, the expert also cautions that it may take several months for the market to reach this level and fully stabilize. 

Why The Bitcoin Bottom Could Be Closer Than Expected

Crypto market analyst identified as Investor Jordan on X has presented a new Bitcoin price analysis, forecasting where the leading cryptocurrency could finally reach a bottom in this cycle. Over the past few months, BTC has experienced significant volatility and negative sentiment amid the ongoing bear market. 

In the past few weeks, Bitcoin has crashed toward $60,000, climbed back above $70,000, and then slipped again to $67,000 at the time of writing. Throughout this price fluctuation, market analysts have continued to predict a potential price bottom, with some suggesting BTC has already hit its lowest point this cycle. In contrast, others believe further declines could be ahead. 

Investor Jordan, however, offers his unique view. In his BTC price analysis, he stated that it is hard to imagine that the market bottom is not already in or at least very close. He says this because of a historical Relative Strength Index (RSI) signal that has consistently marked a price floor for Bitcoin over the past 11 years. 

Investor Jordan noted that in previous cycles, whenever the Bitcoin RSI dropped below 30 and entered oversold territory, it closely aligned with BTC’s cost of production. The cost of production here refers to the total expense required to mine Bitcoin. He noted that for 11 years, this area has been the bottom before BTC began a move to new highs. 

The analyst’s chart shows that Bitcoin’s RSI is about to break below 30 again and enter oversold territory. If history repeats itself, this could signal that Bitcoin has reached its final bottom. While he emphasizes the strong likelihood of this outcome, Investor Jordan also cautioned that it may take several weeks or even months for the bottom to play out fully.  

Analyst Predicts BTC Bottom By Summer End

In a separate analysis, market expert Titan of Crypto predicted that Bitcoin could reach a price bottom by the end of summer, likely in late August. He noted that BTC has historically found a price floor three to four months after forming an Ichimoku Death Cross.

According to Titan of Crypto, if this Death Cross pattern repeats, Bitcoin could form its highly anticipated price floor before any potential recovery to the upside.

Prediction markets are being dominated by automated AI agents and high-frequency trading bots, which extracted around $40 million from market inefficiencies within a single month.

These digital traders look for news of global unrest and respond in milliseconds, often moving the price of a contract before the rest of us can even think about the headline.

This new world of professionalized, machine-based speculation has turned what was once a niche hobby for crypto enthusiasts into a high-stakes financial arena.

Blockchain analytics company TRM Labs reported that prediction markets have seen substantial growth, fueled by greater accessibility, regulatory progress, and integration with mainstream platforms like Google Finance.

The firm noted that these markets are increasingly serving as real-time indicators for geopolitical and macroeconomic events, gaining attention from major media outlets.

War And Elections Drive Unprecedented Volume

The primary catalyst for this massive activity is no longer the price of digital coins. Instead, traders are putting money on the line over the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and other international flashpoints.

The political implications are also significant, with huge monetary stakes riding on the 2028 US Presidential primary nominations. It has been suggested that such platforms are now being used as a measure of the way in which public opinion is shifting, with their probabilities featured on Google Finance and in the news as a more fluid alternative to traditional political polling.

The extent to which this industry is growing can be quantified by recent figures, which showed an increase of over 2,800% compared to the previous year. Indeed, in March 2026, there were over 191 million transactions in the space.

To put that in perspective, that figure equates to almost $24 billion in total value for that month alone, representing a staggering increase from the $1.85 billion in March 2025. This indicates that people and investors are viewing these markets as crucial in hedging against any changes in economic policies or shifts in interest rates.

Prediction Markets: Lawmakers Target Event Based Betting

However, the sudden increase in value has caught the attention of regulators in Washington. The regulators have expressed concerns that people may be using inside information to make profits from military actions and other government decisions.

These suspicions of insider trading have led to a bipartisan push for new legislation. US President Donald Trump and members of Congress are looking at a bill that would effectively ban contracts tied to “casino-style” events, potentially stripping the industry of its most popular categories.

Platforms Introduce New Trading Guardrails

In an effort to stave off a total shutdown, major platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are beginning to implement their own internal restrictions. These measures aim to curb the most controversial types of betting while maintaining the market’s role as a forecasting utility.

Data shows that the outcome of these regulatory battles will determine if the sector stays a permanent fixture of the financial world. For now, the industry remains in a volatile state, balancing between its value as a source of truth and its reputation as a venue for speculating on global tragedy.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The cryptocurrency market has turned highly bearish, and Solana‘s price continues to struggle with volatility as it drops toward the $80 level. Amid the persistent waning action, there has been a noticeable selling activity among treasury firms across the sector, which has triggered serious questions about its price outlook in the short to medium term. 

Treasury Holders Are Selling Off Solana

As Solana’s price continues its downward trend into the new week, selling pressure around the asset has increased along with the bearish performance. After a period of dumping from short-term and long-term holders, this selling activity appears to have moved toward the SOL treasury companies across the sector.

Looking at the chart shared by Ted Pillows, a seasoned macro analyst and investor, large Solana treasury companies have been dumping their SOL holdings over the past few months. Currently, these firms are selling significant portions of their holdings towards new lows.

Such a wave of distribution from treasury firms is expanding the available supply of SOL in the market, causing speculation about its price stability in the near term. Furthermore, this typically points to a shift in sentiment or the desire for these companies to reshuffle their crypto portfolios, a key development in the market.

According to the expert, no buying demand is coming for Solana, which is an extremely negative development, and could extend the ongoing bearish price action. Ted believes that the persistent selling from treasury firms might push SOL further downward to the $50 price level in 2026.

In terms of unchain activity, Solana is demonstrating weakening performance as the network sees a massive decline in stablecoin supply. AdrianoFeria.eth on the X platform stated that the SOL network is dying compared to Ethereum, which is thriving, amassing a substantial amount of stablecoin supply.

Over the past month, the SOL network has experienced notable outflows of more than $250 million. In the crypto sector, stablecoin supply is considered one of the few metrics that cannot be gamed or faked, making it a crucial indicator to determine network trajectory.

SOL’s Price Action Still Looking Weak

Solana has lost its upside momentum due to the market’s pullback during the weekend. Following an analysis of the weekly chart, UniChartz, a crypto analyst, has revealed that Solana is exhibiting some weakness and is positioned at a critical support area. 

This support, which is sitting at the near the $81 level, is now a key point in determining the altcoin’s next direction. If SOL makes a clean break down and acceptance below the level, it could trigger a continued downward trend. When this happens, the next big price level to watch out for is around $45.

At the time of writing, the price of SOL is trading at $83 after a brief bounce of 1.14% over the last 24 hours. While the price has slightly increased, its trading volume has picked up, rising by more than 36% over the past day.

Republican Senators Cynthia Lummis and Bill Cassidy on Monday unveiled the Mined in America Act, a proposal designed to bolster domestic crypto mining while formalizing the federal government’s growing interest in Bitcoin (BTC). 

The bill would create a voluntary certification program to encourage US-based development of crypto mining operations and related infrastructure, require certified sites to move away from mining equipment tied to foreign adversaries, and codify President Donald Trump’s executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

New Plan To Grow US Crypto Mining

Under the measure, the Department of Commerce would stand up a voluntary “Mined in America” certification for cryptocurrency mining facilities and mining pools. 

Facilities that seek the label would have to phase out mining hardware manufactured by companies linked to foreign adversaries, a provision aimed at reducing reliance on potentially insecure supply chains.

Rather than requesting new budgetary outlays, the bill would channel certified mining projects into existing federal energy and rural development programs to support the transition. 

It also directs federal technical agencies to assist US manufacturers: the National Institute of Standards and Technology and the Manufacturing Extension Partnership would be tasked with helping domestic firms design and produce mining hardware. 

The legislation is backed by the Satoshi Action Fund, which has advocated for policies to expand Bitcoin-related economic activity in the United States.

Strategic Bitcoin Reserve On Statutory Footing

Another high-profile element of the bill would be formal recognition of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve announced in the White House executive order last year. 

The Mined in America Act would codify that reserve by establishing it within the Department of the Treasury, giving the executive initiative a statutory anchor and signaling bipartisan interest in treating Bitcoin as a matter of public policy and national strategy.

Senator Lummis framed the new crypto bill as part of a broader push to make the United States a leading center for digital-asset activity. “President Trump pledged to make the United States the digital asset capital of the world— and we’re not backing down,” she said in a statement. Lummis added:  

The Mined in America Act brings this industry home through forward-thinking initiatives to secure our financial future. I’m proud to join Senator Cassidy to ensure the future of digital assets is built right here in America.

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Правительство России одобрило пакет законопроектов о контроле за оборотом криптовалют и наказаниях для нарушителей правил этого контроля. Среди одобренных правил Минфин назвал размер лимита на торговлю криптоактивами.

The XRP conversation has always been based on future potential, regulatory clarity, and institutional adoption that always seemed just out of reach. Now, one crypto commentator believes those pieces are no longer forming in isolation but are now coming together in real time.

According to crypto pundit X Finance Bull, a recent development involving global banking infrastructure shows the moment has finally come for XRP and the entire XRP Ledger ecosystem.

The Moment Has Finally Come

Crypto commentator X Finance Bull recently took to the social media platform X to highlight a growing overlap between major global banking institutions participating in SWIFT’s new blockchain initiative and their existing relationships with Ripple.

SWIFT recently announced plans to build a blockchain-based shared ledger capable of processing real-time, 24/7 cross-border payments. However, what caught the analyst’s attention was not just the technology into a 24/7 blockchain but the names behind it. The initiative reportedly involves over 30 banks across 16 countries working on the next phase of financial infrastructure.

A closer look at the participating institutions reveals that a significant portion already has ties to Ripple. Going through the list of institutions involved in SWIFT’s blockchain project, X Finance Bull identified 12 banks with confirmed ties to Ripple.

Banks such as Santander, DBS Bank, Standard Chartered, Mizuho Financial Group, MUFG, Bank of America, and Royal Bank of Canada are among those identified as having existing relationships with Ripple through payments, custody, or consortium participation.

As noted by X Finance Bull, each of these financial companies has already launched a few initiatives using Ripple’s existing blockchain technology. SG-FORGE has issued the EURCV stablecoin on the XRP Ledger, uses Ripple Custody, and has already tested tokenized bond settlement with SWIFT. Santander’s One Pay FX cross-border payment platform was built using Ripple technology. DBS Bank signed a memorandum of understanding with Ripple, focused on tokenized fund trading. 

Standard Chartered, Mizuho Financial Group, MUFG, Bank of America, Westpac, Royal Bank of Canada, BBVA, Akbank, and Absa Group round out the 12, each with documented links to Ripple’s ecosystem in varying capacities.

Regulatory And Infrastructure Timelines Converging

Although this is not a direct Ripple-SWIFT deal, the observation by the crypto commentator shows that XRP Ledger is already inside the majority of institutions involved in the architecture of the future of global finance. “12 of 30+ banks working on SWIFT’s ledger have Ripple on their other screen. That’s not a theory. That’s a pattern you can verify,” he said.

Finance Bull’s observation also adds to another context in which SWIFT’s blockchain build is occurring. The analyst points to two parallel regulatory developments that are moving on a similar timeline.

The first is the anticipated CLARITY Act, which is already advancing toward the President’s desk. Separately, a tokenization-related exemption from the US Securities and Exchange Commission is reportedly weeks away.

Bitcoin’s price action has seen it all: five-digit collapses, regulatory crackdowns, exchange implosions, and bear markets that lasted the better part of two years. Through every one of those events, one record has been unblemished: Bitcoin has never closed January, February, and March all in the red within the same calendar year. Not once in its entire trading history. However, with only a few days left in March 2026, that untouched record is now on life support.

The Numbers That Tell The Story

Bitcoin is heading into the final stretch of March with a possibility of three straight losing opening months to a year, a setup it has never previously recorded in its trading history. The Coinglass monthly returns heatmap lays out the situation with uncomfortable precision. January 2026 closed down 10.17%. February followed with a 14.94% loss, which also created a record of the first consecutive red February after a 17.39% loss in 2025.

March is now at risk of closing in negative territory, with Bitcoin trading around $67,750 at the time of writing against a month-open price of $66,970 following February’s close. That puts March’s month-to-date return at approximately 0.31%, with one trading day remaining before the monthly candle seals shut.

Bitcoin Monthly Returns (%). Source: Coinglass

Cross-referencing the full historical dataset, no year in Bitcoin’s trackable price history (2013 to 2026) produced three consecutive red monthly closes to open the year. There were years with brutal individual months: January 2015 lost 33.05%, January 2018 dropped 25.41%, and February 2014 fell 31.03%. However, in each case, at least one of the three opening months recovered to close green, but 2026 has produced none of that relief.

Possible Six Months Of Consecutive Losses

Bitcoin has been on a long stretch of monthly red closes since it reached its October 2025 all-time high above $126,000. This led to five consecutive red closes in February 2025, which was the second time in its history. That record is now at risk of extending to six monthly red closes depending on how March eventually plays out.

The conditions behind this performance are a convergence of pressures that mounted steadily over the past six months.  As it stands, investor sentiment on Bitcoin has corroded to multi-year lows, and it is now at its lowest levels since the 2022 bear market. 

As it stands, the entire Q1 2026 is at a red performance of -22.6%. The Q1 2026 performance is the weakest opening quarter since 2018, when Bitcoin lost 50.7% of its value between January and March. That year’s first-quarter damage was more severe in absolute terms, but February gained 0.47%.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,750 with one day left to write the final line of a chapter most investors did not expect to see written at the start of the year.

Bitcoin’s current volatile action has kept its price below the $70,000 level, suggesting a weakening market structure. This persistent trading below the resistance range over the past few days has shifted the asset into bearish territory, which is starting to impact investors’ activity across the market.

Waning Momentum Impacts Bitcoin Whales

While the crypto market is facing volatility, Bitcoin has pulled back to key support levels. BTC’s price action is still below the crucial $70,000 mark, and the behavior of large holders is starting to change as a result of the extended decline.

In reaction to the stopped momentum, whales, who are sometimes seen as the market’s most important participants, seem to be modifying their activity, either reducing accumulation or taking a more cautious approach. Market expert and investor Crypto Tice on X reported that these large investors are starting to bet against the flagship asset as bullish momentum fades. 

Given the market structure at this point, the expert stated that this is not something that market watchers or traders should overlook, as it carries significant implications. This change occurs as BTC’s failure to generate a notable rebound triggers concerns regarding its strength or stability in the short term. Furthermore, the interaction between subdued price action and whale behavior could play a crucial role in shaping the asset’s next move in the upcoming weeks.

Crypto Tice has underlined a divergence between whales and retail holders, who appear to be moving in a different direction. While large holders are betting against BTC and opening short positions, retail investors are steadily chasing the long side.

Many may consider this divergence as bearish noise, but the expert claims that this is a signal that needs to be monitored. This is because whales do not build short positions for fun. Rather, they do so because they see something that retail investors fail to see. 

As seen in the chart, the same whales that accumulated at the bottom are leaning toward the short side. Even those who sold at the top and those who have been right every single market cycle are shifting to the short side. In the meantime, Crypto Tice believes that following the smart money, not the crowd, could be a good move.

BTC Is Entering Crypto Exchanges

Bitcoin’s bearish performance has currently triggered a new wave of selling activity on cryptocurrency exchanges. By analyzing the Bitcoin Short-Term Holder P&L to Exchange Sum on the 24-hour time frame, Crypto Tice shared that over 21,700 BTC was moved into trading platforms within the period.

According to the expert, every single coin was sold at a loss. Even though not all transfers result in quick sell-offs, the magnitude of this movement may cause traders to reevaluate short-term market sentiment

Crypto Tice highlighted that this kind of distribution activity aligns with raw capitulation and panic selling at its most painful level as weak hands break in real time. The data clearly shows that every time this volume of loss selling hit exchanges, a bottom was forming underneath the surface, suggesting that BTC’s price may be approaching its next market bottom.

Биткоин сейчас напоминает соцсеть Facebook, какой она была 24 года назад — когда закончился ранний этап роста и она потеряла статус андеграунд-увлечения, заявил аналитик Bloomberg Intelligence Эрик Балчунас (Eric Balchunas).

The imminent SpaceX IPO has drawn attention to DOGE, with eyes on how the Dogecoin price could react to the public listing of Elon Musk’s company. This is because of the affinity that the world’s richest man has for the foremost meme coin, which has brought about a connection between DOGE and developments around him. 

Dogecoin Price Briefly Rises On SpaceX IPO Speculations

The Dogecoin price notably rose close to the psychological $0.10 level following reports that Elon Musk’s SpaceX could file for an IPO soon. According to a Reuters report, the space company is reportedly looking to raise up to $80 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This could make the IPO the largest ever, topping Saudi Aramco’s 2019 IPO. 

The Dogecoin price reacts to developments surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO, given Elon Musk’s relationship with DOGE. As such, the meme coin has been known to react to developments around the world’s richest man. It is also worth noting that DOGE has a direct connection to SpaceX through the long-planned DOGE-1 lunar mission, which aims to send a physical Dogecoin to the moon. 

Elon Musk recently revived talks about the mission, stating that it could maybe happen next year. As such, the SpaceX IPO represents a huge positive for the Dogecoin price. DOGE also has a connection with SpaceX through the X social media platform, which is now part of SpaceX following its acquisition of xAI. 

X is planning to roll out its payment services, with speculations that the social media platform could integrate DOGE payments. The Dogecoin price rose when Musk announced that X Money will launch to the public next month. A potential integration could serve as the catalyst to send the Doge price higher. 

DOGE Has One Of The Best Setups Right Now

Ahead of the SpaceX IPO, crypto analyst Javon Marks said in an X post that the Dogecoin price has one of the best setups in the market right now. His accompanying chart showed that DOGE could soon bottom and rally to as high as $7 in the next bull run, marking a new all-time high (ATH) for the meme coin, surpassing its current ATH of $0.73.

This Dogecoin price rally to $7 is expected to happen between 2027 and 2028, which could mark the start of the next bull run. Marks made this prediction based on DOGE’s historical performance in past bull runs. The foremost meme coin notably saw gains of over 8,000% and 30,000% in the 2017 and 2021 bull runs, respectively. 

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.09270, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Суд в Южной Корее приговорил мужчину по фамилии Ким (Kim) к восьми годам лишения свободы за кражу биткоинов на 500 млн вон ($332 000). Мужчину признали участником крупной организованной преступной группировки «Чильсонпа» (Chilseongpa).

Wall Street’s recent buying activity in XRP has drawn growing attention, but the reality may be more nuanced than headlines suggest. While some major institutions have taken positions in XRP-related investment products, the timing, scale and structure of these holdings indicate that they may be waiting for a broader trigger before committing fully to the market.

Limited XRP Positions Suggest Wall Street’s Caution, Not Full Commitment

Recent figures, as posted by @pumpius on X, indicate that several high-profile financial firms have established exposure to XRP, primarily through spot exchange-traded funds. Goldman Sachs is reported to hold the largest position, with approximately $153.8 million in XRP ETFs, equivalent to about 83.6 million shares. Millennium Management has taken a more modest allocation of around $23 million, while Logan Stone Capital holds roughly $5.3 million. Citadel is also noted as participating, though the exact size of its position is not publicly detailed.

These figures are cited as proof of Wall Street quietly accumulating XRP. However, it is important to note that these investments are held through regulated ETFs rather than direct ownership of XRP itself. This approach allows institutions to gain exposure while operating within compliance frameworks, limiting risk while still participating in the market.

The nature of these positions indicates measured involvement. Institutions appear to be testing the waters, establishing exposure without committing fully to the underlying asset. The reported allocations suggest interest exists, but they do not yet point to aggressive, large-scale buying. Wall Street seems to be positioning itself strategically, keeping options open while waiting for conditions that would justify a deeper commitment.

Regulatory Certainty Remains The Key Trigger

The pace at which institutions could fully adopt XRP appears closely tied to regulatory certainty. According to a video posted on X by @SMQKEDQG, to start using XRP, banks need to complete compliance checks, review credit requirements, and integrate the system into their existing operations. Normally, this process takes two to three months. Just the technical setup, including system testing, workflow adjustments, and making sure everything runs smoothly, can take one to two months and in the fastest cases, up to 3 weeks. Because it takes careful coordination, clear rules from regulators are the main signal that would encourage large-scale adoption.

However, the presence of existing positions through ETFs allows institutions to stay ready, but deeper adoption depends on a legal framework that clarifies how XRP can be used safely within the financial system. Until that clarity arrives, Wall Street is likely to maintain a cautious stance rather than pursue rapid accumulation.

In short, the evidence points to measured positioning rather than a buying frenzy. Institutions are participating, but they appear to be waiting for the conditions—particularly the CLARITY Act—that would allow them to move decisively. Wall Street is involved, but not fully committed, suggesting a strategy that balances readiness with risk management.

Michael Saylor’s reputation for buying Bitcoin near local highs is less a timing flaw than a function of how the treasury model works, according to Metaplanet Director of Bitcoin Strategy Dylan LeClair. In an interview, LeClair argued that the apparent pattern reflects when capital markets are most open, not a deliberate effort to chase peaks.

Why Saylor Keeps Buying The Bitcoin Top

LeClair said the criticism misunderstands the mechanics behind Strategy’s buying. “The Bitcoin treasury model is very pro-cyclical,” he said. “So when times are good, generally over a four-year market or minute to minute, it’s easiest to raise capital. And so the capital markets are wide open when Bitcoin’s strong for common equity. But when it’s weak, they’re not.”

That dynamic, he said, helps explain why Strategy’s purchases often arrive when Bitcoin is already trading strongly. If the company’s stock is performing well and its enterprise value is rich relative to its Bitcoin holdings, it becomes easier and more attractive to issue equity and convert that capital into more BTC. “When we sell stock, we buy literally minute to minute,” LeClair said, referring to Saylor’s own description of the process. “So when a weekly purchase comes out, people are like, well, Strategy bought the range high again. Well, it’s like, no, the causality is reversed.”

In LeClair’s telling, Strategy is not buying strength because it wants to pay up. It is buying when its financing window is strongest. That distinction matters, especially for listed Bitcoin treasury companies whose capital-raising ability is tightly linked to sentiment, equity multiples, and market liquidity.

He said that model is now evolving. Where Strategy once relied primarily on common stock issuance and, at times, convertible bonds, LeClair pointed to the growing importance of preferred equity offerings, especially STRC, as a potential shift in how Bitcoin-linked firms fund purchases across different market regimes. The attraction is that preferreds may allow companies to keep raising capital even when Bitcoin is weak and common equity is less appealing to issue.

“The thing with STRC that’s really, really interesting is that they now have a mechanism to basically raise regardless of the market conditions,” he said. “So Bitcoin can be strong, Bitcoin can be weak. If STRC is at 100, they can raise a lot, a lot of money.” He added that Strategy had already used that structure aggressively, saying Saylor raised $1.2 billion in a week without selling MSTR.

LeClair framed that as more than a financing tweak. He described it as a new bridge between BTC exposure and pools of capital that cannot buy spot BTC or even ETFs directly. “There’s trillions of dollars of fixed income in the world that want low volatility, high yield,” he said. “And so Saylor says, okay, well, I’ll design, I’ll engineer security for you.”

That broader capital-markets angle ran through much of LeClair’s interview. While he said Metaplanet’s core BTC thesis has not changed despite the market drawdown, he acknowledged that execution has. In strong markets, treasury firms can lean on common equity fundraising. In weaker conditions, other instruments may matter more. “The ways that we navigate the capital markets have been tweaked a bit,” he said.

LeClair also suggested Strategy is becoming the marginal buyer of Bitcoin, arguing that Saylor is now purchasing more than the ETFs combined. At the same time, he said the company is improving its capital structure by issuing new securities while making its existing convertible debt less significant relative to the rest of the balance sheet. In his view, that combination is creating an increasingly powerful acquisition engine for BTC.

At press time, BTC traded at $67,639.

Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

Аналитики трейдинговой фирмы QCP Capital назвали 6 апреля важной датой для цены биткоина. В этот день истекает объявленный президентом США Дональдом Трампом десятидневный мораторий на удары по иранской инфраструктуре. Развитие ситуации может усилить волатильность крипторынка, полагают трейдинговые эксперты.

Сообщество поддержки токенов Lido рассматривает возможность обратного выкупа собственных монет проекта с открытого рынка. Цель: остановить затянувшееся снижение цены актива и предотвратить дальнейшее обесценивание.

Hyperliquid’s Weekly Update highlights the visit Jeff Yan, the DEX’s founder, paid to Harvard Business School the past March 26.

Hyperliquid: The Everything Exchange

As if its growing ascend to the crypto stardom wasn’t enough for Hyperliquid, with recent milestones such as launching the PURR common stock on the Nasdaq Options Market, or rolling out a fiat on-ramp, the leading perp DEX is now on Ivy League levels. Professor Shikhar Ghosh, lecturer Mahesh Ramakrishnan and researcher Shweta Bagai taught a study case on Hyperliquid to MBA students and regulators, as Ramakrishnan said himself on a post on the social network X. As part of the lecture, Ramakrishnan interviewed Jeff Yan.

Posting my recent Harvard Business School case on @HyperliquidX, which we taught to MBA students and regulators earlier this week.

Grateful to @chameleon_jeff and @iliensinc for their help, and for letting me interview Jeff for the class!

You can read the full case below: pic.twitter.com/d2SIKXQ9yf

— MoneroMahesh (@MoneroMahesh) March 26, 2026

The case study, titled “Hyperliquid: The Everything Exchange”, consists in a structured deep dive into Hyperliquid’s architecture, business model, governance, and risk controls. Its aim is to help students and regulators think through where to draw the line between innovation and systemic risk.

Related Reading: Cardano Founder Hoskinson Just Released A Free Book On Zero-Knowledge

As it delves into the history and technical foundation of the platform, the study poses three key questions: Who ultimately controls upgrades and emergency powers on the chain? How transparent are order‑book operations and liquidation mechanics for outside observers? And what happens to users if the “core” team disappears, or if a catastrophic failure hits liquidity?

The case pushes students to compare Hyperliquid’s design choices with centralized exchanges like FTX and with more “credibly neutral” DeFi protocols, explicitly framing it as a test of whether “CeFi in DeFi clothing” is acceptable.

Some independent researchers have argued that Hyperliquid’s stack concentrates significant power in a “core writer” layer that can influence balances, transactions, and even reported volume, blurring the line between on‑chain and off‑chain control. The Harvard study effectively forces students to decide whether such administrative levers are a necessary safety valve or an unacceptable hidden risk, especially after FTX‑Alameda’s use of opaque arrangements and volume games.

Hyperliquid’s liquidation machinery has already drawn scrutiny from on‑chain sleuths and high‑frequency traders. Critics have argued the system can trigger forced unwinds aggressively in fast markets, concentrating risk in the insurance/backstop layer rather than distributing it transparently across participants.

What This Means For Traders

The Harvard case leans into this tension: it explicitly asks whether Hyperliquid’s backstop and insurance mechanisms are robust enough to survive a multi‑sigma meltdown without socialized losses or “special treatment” for favored accounts.

Top business schools and regulators now treat “DeFi” derivatives venues as potential systemically relevant infrastructure, not fringe experiments, which could shape future policy and enforcement priorities. The message to traders is simple: liquidation and backstop design are not academic footnotes: they’re model‑risk levers that decide who eats the loss when volatility hits.

Cover image from Perplexity, HYPEUSDT chart from Tradingview